Akero Therapeutics Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 17.30
| AKRO Stock | USD 28.25 0.64 2.22% |
Akero |
Akero Therapeutics Target Price Odds to finish below 17.30
The tendency of Akero Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 17.30 or more in 90 days |
| 28.25 | 90 days | 17.30 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Akero Therapeutics to drop to $ 17.30 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Akero Therapeutics probability density function shows the probability of Akero Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Akero Therapeutics price to stay between $ 17.30 and its current price of $28.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.91 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Akero Therapeutics has a beta of 0.16. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Akero Therapeutics average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Akero Therapeutics will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Akero Therapeutics has an alpha of 0.0526, implying that it can generate a 0.0526 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Akero Therapeutics Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Akero Therapeutics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Akero Therapeutics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Akero Therapeutics Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Akero Therapeutics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Akero Therapeutics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Akero Therapeutics, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Akero Therapeutics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.77 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Akero Therapeutics Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Akero Therapeutics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Akero Therapeutics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Akero Therapeutics had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Net Loss for the year was (151.76 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Akero Therapeutics currently holds about 180.72 M in cash with (145.37 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.81. | |
| Akero Therapeutics has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 94.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Timothy Rolph of 3800 shares of Akero Therapeutics at 19.87 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Akero Therapeutics Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Akero Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Akero Therapeutics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Akero Therapeutics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 52.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 550 M |
Akero Therapeutics Technical Analysis
Akero Therapeutics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Akero Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Akero Therapeutics. In general, you should focus on analyzing Akero Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Akero Therapeutics Predictive Forecast Models
Akero Therapeutics' time-series forecasting models is one of many Akero Therapeutics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Akero Therapeutics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Akero Therapeutics
Checking the ongoing alerts about Akero Therapeutics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Akero Therapeutics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Akero Therapeutics had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Net Loss for the year was (151.76 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Akero Therapeutics currently holds about 180.72 M in cash with (145.37 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.81. | |
| Akero Therapeutics has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 94.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Timothy Rolph of 3800 shares of Akero Therapeutics at 19.87 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out Akero Therapeutics Backtesting, Akero Therapeutics Valuation, Akero Therapeutics Correlation, Akero Therapeutics Hype Analysis, Akero Therapeutics Volatility, Akero Therapeutics History as well as Akero Therapeutics Performance. To learn how to invest in Akero Stock, please use our How to Invest in Akero Therapeutics guide.You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Akero Therapeutics. If investors know Akero will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Akero Therapeutics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (3.78) | Return On Assets (0.23) | Return On Equity (0.36) |
The market value of Akero Therapeutics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Akero that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Akero Therapeutics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Akero Therapeutics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Akero Therapeutics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Akero Therapeutics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Akero Therapeutics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Akero Therapeutics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Akero Therapeutics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.