Adeunis (France) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.7
| ALARF Stock | EUR 0.88 0.02 2.22% |
Adeunis |
Adeunis Target Price Odds to finish over 0.7
The tendency of Adeunis Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above € 0.70 in 90 days |
| 0.88 | 90 days | 0.70 | about 38.21 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Adeunis to stay above € 0.70 in 90 days from now is about 38.21 (This Adeunis probability density function shows the probability of Adeunis Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Adeunis price to stay between € 0.70 and its current price of €0.88 at the end of the 90-day period is about 36.42 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Adeunis has a beta of -0.5. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Adeunis are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Adeunis is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Adeunis has an alpha of 0.8258, implying that it can generate a 0.83 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Adeunis Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Adeunis
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Adeunis. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Adeunis Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Adeunis is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Adeunis' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Adeunis, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Adeunis within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.83 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.5 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Adeunis Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Adeunis for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Adeunis can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Adeunis is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Adeunis has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Adeunis appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Adeunis has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Adeunis has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company reported the revenue of 6.15 M. Net Loss for the year was (397 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.37 M. | |
| Adeunis has accumulated about 1.86 M in cash with (2.71 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.82. | |
| Roughly 55.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Adeunis Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Adeunis Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Adeunis' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Adeunis' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.5 M | |
| Shares Float | 803.5 K |
Adeunis Technical Analysis
Adeunis' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Adeunis Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Adeunis. In general, you should focus on analyzing Adeunis Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Adeunis Predictive Forecast Models
Adeunis' time-series forecasting models is one of many Adeunis' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Adeunis' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Adeunis
Checking the ongoing alerts about Adeunis for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Adeunis help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Adeunis is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Adeunis has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Adeunis appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Adeunis has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Adeunis has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company reported the revenue of 6.15 M. Net Loss for the year was (397 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.37 M. | |
| Adeunis has accumulated about 1.86 M in cash with (2.71 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.82. | |
| Roughly 55.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Adeunis Stock Analysis
When running Adeunis' price analysis, check to measure Adeunis' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Adeunis is operating at the current time. Most of Adeunis' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Adeunis' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Adeunis' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Adeunis to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.