Haffner Energy (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.87
| ALHAF Stock | 0.95 0.06 6.74% |
Haffner |
Haffner Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 0.87
The tendency of Haffner Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 0.87 or more in 90 days |
| 0.95 | 90 days | 0.87 | about 8.76 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Haffner Energy to drop to 0.87 or more in 90 days from now is about 8.76 (This Haffner Energy SA probability density function shows the probability of Haffner Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Haffner Energy SA price to stay between 0.87 and its current price of 0.95 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.07 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Haffner Energy has a beta of 0.34. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Haffner Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Haffner Energy SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Haffner Energy SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Haffner Energy Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Haffner Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Haffner Energy SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Haffner Energy. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Haffner Energy's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Haffner Energy's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Haffner Energy SA.Haffner Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Haffner Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Haffner Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Haffner Energy SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Haffner Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.39 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.34 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.17 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Haffner Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Haffner Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Haffner Energy SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Haffner Energy SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Haffner Energy SA has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Haffner Energy SA has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
Haffner Energy Technical Analysis
Haffner Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Haffner Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Haffner Energy SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Haffner Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Haffner Energy Predictive Forecast Models
Haffner Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Haffner Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Haffner Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Haffner Energy SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Haffner Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Haffner Energy SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Haffner Energy SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Haffner Energy SA has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Haffner Energy SA has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
Additional Tools for Haffner Stock Analysis
When running Haffner Energy's price analysis, check to measure Haffner Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Haffner Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Haffner Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Haffner Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Haffner Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Haffner Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.