Alkemy Capital (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 91.84
| ALK Stock | 137.50 12.50 10.00% |
Alkemy |
Alkemy Capital Target Price Odds to finish below 91.84
The tendency of Alkemy Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 91.84 or more in 90 days |
| 137.50 | 90 days | 91.84 | about 64.67 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Alkemy Capital to drop to 91.84 or more in 90 days from now is about 64.67 (This Alkemy Capital Investments probability density function shows the probability of Alkemy Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Alkemy Capital Inves price to stay between 91.84 and its current price of 137.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 30.27 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Alkemy Capital Investments has a beta of -1.47. This suggests as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Alkemy Capital Investments are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Alkemy Capital is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that Alkemy Capital Investments has an alpha of 2.7092, implying that it can generate a 2.71 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Alkemy Capital Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Alkemy Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alkemy Capital Inves. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Alkemy Capital Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Alkemy Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Alkemy Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Alkemy Capital Investments, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Alkemy Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 2.71 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.47 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 36.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.17 |
Alkemy Capital Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Alkemy Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Alkemy Capital Inves can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Alkemy Capital Inves is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Alkemy Capital Inves appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.25 K. Net Loss for the year was (1.77 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (1.3 M). | |
| Alkemy Capital generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 45.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Alkemy Capital Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Alkemy Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Alkemy Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alkemy Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 7.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 45.5 K | |
| Shares Float | 5 M |
Alkemy Capital Technical Analysis
Alkemy Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Alkemy Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Alkemy Capital Investments. In general, you should focus on analyzing Alkemy Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Alkemy Capital Predictive Forecast Models
Alkemy Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Alkemy Capital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Alkemy Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Alkemy Capital Inves
Checking the ongoing alerts about Alkemy Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Alkemy Capital Inves help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Alkemy Capital Inves is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Alkemy Capital Inves appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.25 K. Net Loss for the year was (1.77 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (1.3 M). | |
| Alkemy Capital generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 45.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Alkemy Stock
Alkemy Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Alkemy Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Alkemy with respect to the benefits of owning Alkemy Capital security.