Alpha Services (Greece) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.57

ALPHA Stock  EUR 1.62  0.03  1.82%   
Alpha Services' future price is the expected price of Alpha Services instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Alpha Services and performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Alpha Services Backtesting, Alpha Services Valuation, Alpha Services Correlation, Alpha Services Hype Analysis, Alpha Services Volatility, Alpha Services History as well as Alpha Services Performance.
  
Please specify Alpha Services' target price for which you would like Alpha Services odds to be computed.

Alpha Services Target Price Odds to finish below 1.57

The tendency of Alpha Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 1.57  or more in 90 days
 1.62 90 days 1.57 
about 75.34
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Alpha Services to drop to € 1.57  or more in 90 days from now is about 75.34 (This Alpha Services and probability density function shows the probability of Alpha Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Alpha Services price to stay between € 1.57  and its current price of €1.62 at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.13 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Alpha Services has a beta of 0.32. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Alpha Services average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Alpha Services and will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Alpha Services and has an alpha of 0.0894, implying that it can generate a 0.0894 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Alpha Services Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Alpha Services

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alpha Services. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.081.623.41
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.081.573.36
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.683.47
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.361.521.68
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Alpha Services. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Alpha Services' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Alpha Services' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Alpha Services.

Alpha Services Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Alpha Services is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Alpha Services' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Alpha Services and, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Alpha Services within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.32
σ
Overall volatility
0.07
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Alpha Services Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Alpha Services for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Alpha Services can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Alpha Services may become a speculative penny stock
Net Loss for the year was (2.91 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (1.81 B).
About 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Alpha Services Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Alpha Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Alpha Services' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alpha Services' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.3 B

Alpha Services Technical Analysis

Alpha Services' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Alpha Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Alpha Services and. In general, you should focus on analyzing Alpha Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Alpha Services Predictive Forecast Models

Alpha Services' time-series forecasting models is one of many Alpha Services' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Alpha Services' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Alpha Services

Checking the ongoing alerts about Alpha Services for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Alpha Services help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Alpha Services may become a speculative penny stock
Net Loss for the year was (2.91 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (1.81 B).
About 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Alpha Stock

Alpha Services financial ratios help investors to determine whether Alpha Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Alpha with respect to the benefits of owning Alpha Services security.