Safe Orthopaedics (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0539
| ALSAF Stock | EUR 0.05 0 5.44% |
Safe |
Safe Orthopaedics Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0539
The tendency of Safe Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 0.05 | 90 days | 0.05 | about 12.81 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Safe Orthopaedics to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 12.81 (This Safe Orthopaedics SA probability density function shows the probability of Safe Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.22 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Safe Orthopaedics will likely underperform. Additionally Safe Orthopaedics SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Safe Orthopaedics Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Safe Orthopaedics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Safe Orthopaedics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Safe Orthopaedics Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Safe Orthopaedics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Safe Orthopaedics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Safe Orthopaedics SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Safe Orthopaedics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -2.22 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.12 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Safe Orthopaedics Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Safe Orthopaedics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Safe Orthopaedics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Safe Orthopaedics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Safe Orthopaedics has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Safe Orthopaedics has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the revenue of 4.56 M. Net Loss for the year was (6.71 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.57 M. | |
| Safe Orthopaedics SA has accumulated about 913 K in cash with (6.26 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.82, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
Safe Orthopaedics Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Safe Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Safe Orthopaedics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Safe Orthopaedics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 913 K |
Safe Orthopaedics Technical Analysis
Safe Orthopaedics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Safe Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Safe Orthopaedics SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Safe Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Safe Orthopaedics Predictive Forecast Models
Safe Orthopaedics' time-series forecasting models is one of many Safe Orthopaedics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Safe Orthopaedics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Safe Orthopaedics
Checking the ongoing alerts about Safe Orthopaedics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Safe Orthopaedics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Safe Orthopaedics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Safe Orthopaedics has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Safe Orthopaedics has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the revenue of 4.56 M. Net Loss for the year was (6.71 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.57 M. | |
| Safe Orthopaedics SA has accumulated about 913 K in cash with (6.26 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.82, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
Additional Tools for Safe Stock Analysis
When running Safe Orthopaedics' price analysis, check to measure Safe Orthopaedics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Safe Orthopaedics is operating at the current time. Most of Safe Orthopaedics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Safe Orthopaedics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Safe Orthopaedics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Safe Orthopaedics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.