Autoliv Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 97.15
| ALV Stock | USD 99.48 0.27 0.27% |
Closest to current price Autoliv long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Autoliv |
Autoliv Target Price Odds to finish over 97.15
The tendency of Autoliv Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 97.15 in 90 days |
| 99.48 | 90 days | 97.15 | about 25.78 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Autoliv to stay above $ 97.15 in 90 days from now is about 25.78 (This Autoliv probability density function shows the probability of Autoliv Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Autoliv price to stay between $ 97.15 and its current price of $99.48 at the end of the 90-day period is about 19.68 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Autoliv has a beta of 0.78. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Autoliv average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Autoliv will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Autoliv has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Autoliv Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Autoliv
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Autoliv. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Autoliv Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Autoliv is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Autoliv's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Autoliv, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Autoliv within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.78 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.60 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Autoliv Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Autoliv for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Autoliv can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Autoliv has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 75.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Autoliv Inc Shares Up 2.89 percent on Dec 9 |
Autoliv Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Autoliv Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Autoliv's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Autoliv's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 85.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 498 M |
Autoliv Technical Analysis
Autoliv's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Autoliv Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Autoliv. In general, you should focus on analyzing Autoliv Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Autoliv Predictive Forecast Models
Autoliv's time-series forecasting models is one of many Autoliv's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Autoliv's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Autoliv
Checking the ongoing alerts about Autoliv for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Autoliv help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Autoliv has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 75.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Autoliv Inc Shares Up 2.89 percent on Dec 9 |
Additional Tools for Autoliv Stock Analysis
When running Autoliv's price analysis, check to measure Autoliv's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Autoliv is operating at the current time. Most of Autoliv's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Autoliv's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Autoliv's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Autoliv to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.