Kumulus Vape (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5.23
| ALVAP Stock | 5.30 0.20 3.64% |
Kumulus |
Kumulus Vape Target Price Odds to finish below 5.23
The tendency of Kumulus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 5.23 or more in 90 days |
| 5.30 | 90 days | 5.23 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kumulus Vape to drop to 5.23 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Kumulus Vape SA probability density function shows the probability of Kumulus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kumulus Vape SA price to stay between 5.23 and its current price of 5.3 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kumulus Vape has a beta of 0.58. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Kumulus Vape average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Kumulus Vape SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Kumulus Vape SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Kumulus Vape Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Kumulus Vape
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kumulus Vape SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Kumulus Vape Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kumulus Vape is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kumulus Vape's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kumulus Vape SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kumulus Vape within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.4 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.58 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.34 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Kumulus Vape Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kumulus Vape for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kumulus Vape SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Kumulus Vape SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Kumulus Vape Technical Analysis
Kumulus Vape's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kumulus Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kumulus Vape SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kumulus Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Kumulus Vape Predictive Forecast Models
Kumulus Vape's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kumulus Vape's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kumulus Vape's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Kumulus Vape SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Kumulus Vape for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kumulus Vape SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Kumulus Vape SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Additional Tools for Kumulus Stock Analysis
When running Kumulus Vape's price analysis, check to measure Kumulus Vape's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kumulus Vape is operating at the current time. Most of Kumulus Vape's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kumulus Vape's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kumulus Vape's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kumulus Vape to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.