Voyageurs (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 134.40
| ALVDM Stock | EUR 141.00 0.80 0.57% |
Voyageurs |
Voyageurs Target Price Odds to finish below 134.40
The tendency of Voyageurs Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 134.40 or more in 90 days |
| 141.00 | 90 days | 134.40 | about 32.9 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Voyageurs to drop to € 134.40 or more in 90 days from now is about 32.9 (This Voyageurs du Monde probability density function shows the probability of Voyageurs Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Voyageurs du Monde price to stay between € 134.40 and its current price of €141.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 39.06 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Voyageurs du Monde has a beta of -0.38. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Voyageurs are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Voyageurs du Monde is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Voyageurs du Monde has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Voyageurs Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Voyageurs
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Voyageurs du Monde. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Voyageurs Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Voyageurs is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Voyageurs' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Voyageurs du Monde, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Voyageurs within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.38 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.44 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Voyageurs Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Voyageurs for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Voyageurs du Monde can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Voyageurs du Monde generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 151.71 M. Net Loss for the year was (333 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 47.12 M. | |
| Voyageurs du Monde has accumulated about 193 K in cash with (19.11 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 32.72. | |
| Roughly 69.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Voyageurs Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Voyageurs Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Voyageurs' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Voyageurs' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 232.3 M |
Voyageurs Technical Analysis
Voyageurs' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Voyageurs Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Voyageurs du Monde. In general, you should focus on analyzing Voyageurs Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Voyageurs Predictive Forecast Models
Voyageurs' time-series forecasting models is one of many Voyageurs' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Voyageurs' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Voyageurs du Monde
Checking the ongoing alerts about Voyageurs for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Voyageurs du Monde help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Voyageurs du Monde generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 151.71 M. Net Loss for the year was (333 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 47.12 M. | |
| Voyageurs du Monde has accumulated about 193 K in cash with (19.11 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 32.72. | |
| Roughly 69.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Voyageurs Stock Analysis
When running Voyageurs' price analysis, check to measure Voyageurs' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Voyageurs is operating at the current time. Most of Voyageurs' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Voyageurs' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Voyageurs' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Voyageurs to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.