Alx Resources Corp Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.0003
| ALXEF Stock | USD 0.02 0 9.21% |
ALX |
ALX Resources Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0003
The tendency of ALX Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.0003 or more in 90 days |
| 0.02 | 90 days | 0.0003 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ALX Resources to drop to $ 0.0003 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This ALX Resources Corp probability density function shows the probability of ALX Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ALX Resources Corp price to stay between $ 0.0003 and its current price of $0.0207 at the end of the 90-day period is about 87.88 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon ALX Resources Corp has a beta of -3.12. This suggests as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding ALX Resources Corp are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, ALX Resources is expected to outperform its benchmark. Moreover ALX Resources Corp has an alpha of 1.0028, implying that it can generate a 1.0 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). ALX Resources Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for ALX Resources
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ALX Resources Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ALX Resources' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
ALX Resources Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ALX Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ALX Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ALX Resources Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ALX Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.00 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -3.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
ALX Resources Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ALX Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ALX Resources Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| ALX Resources Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| ALX Resources Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| ALX Resources Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Net Loss for the year was (2.72 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (4.42 K). | |
| ALX Resources Corp has accumulated about 2.34 M in cash with (734.66 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01. | |
| Roughly 15.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
ALX Resources Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ALX Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ALX Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ALX Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 207.8 M |
ALX Resources Technical Analysis
ALX Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ALX Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ALX Resources Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing ALX Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
ALX Resources Predictive Forecast Models
ALX Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many ALX Resources' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ALX Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about ALX Resources Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about ALX Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ALX Resources Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| ALX Resources Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| ALX Resources Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| ALX Resources Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Net Loss for the year was (2.72 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (4.42 K). | |
| ALX Resources Corp has accumulated about 2.34 M in cash with (734.66 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01. | |
| Roughly 15.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in ALX Pink Sheet
ALX Resources financial ratios help investors to determine whether ALX Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ALX with respect to the benefits of owning ALX Resources security.