Asahimas Flat (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4560.0
| AMFG Stock | IDR 4,630 10.00 0.22% |
Asahimas |
Asahimas Flat Target Price Odds to finish below 4560.0
The tendency of Asahimas Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 4,560 or more in 90 days |
| 4,630 | 90 days | 4,560 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Asahimas Flat to drop to 4,560 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Asahimas Flat Glass probability density function shows the probability of Asahimas Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Asahimas Flat Glass price to stay between 4,560 and its current price of 4630.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.9 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Asahimas Flat Glass has a beta of -0.0275. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Asahimas Flat are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Asahimas Flat Glass is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Asahimas Flat Glass has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Asahimas Flat Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Asahimas Flat
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Asahimas Flat Glass. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Asahimas Flat Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Asahimas Flat is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Asahimas Flat's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Asahimas Flat Glass, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Asahimas Flat within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 52.09 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.21 |
Asahimas Flat Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Asahimas Flat for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Asahimas Flat Glass can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Asahimas Flat Glass generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Asahimas Flat Glass has accumulated 1.54 T in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.13, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Asahimas Flat Glass has a current ratio of 0.83, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Asahimas Flat until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Asahimas Flat's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Asahimas Flat Glass sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Asahimas to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Asahimas Flat's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 86.0% of Asahimas Flat shares are held by company insiders |
Asahimas Flat Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Asahimas Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Asahimas Flat's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Asahimas Flat's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 434 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 132.2 B |
Asahimas Flat Technical Analysis
Asahimas Flat's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Asahimas Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Asahimas Flat Glass. In general, you should focus on analyzing Asahimas Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Asahimas Flat Predictive Forecast Models
Asahimas Flat's time-series forecasting models is one of many Asahimas Flat's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Asahimas Flat's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Asahimas Flat Glass
Checking the ongoing alerts about Asahimas Flat for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Asahimas Flat Glass help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Asahimas Flat Glass generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Asahimas Flat Glass has accumulated 1.54 T in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.13, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Asahimas Flat Glass has a current ratio of 0.83, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Asahimas Flat until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Asahimas Flat's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Asahimas Flat Glass sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Asahimas to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Asahimas Flat's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 86.0% of Asahimas Flat shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Asahimas Stock
Asahimas Flat financial ratios help investors to determine whether Asahimas Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Asahimas with respect to the benefits of owning Asahimas Flat security.