Ap Moeller Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 2098.89

AMKAF Stock  USD 1,679  159.47  10.49%   
AP Moeller's future price is the expected price of AP Moeller instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of AP Moeller performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out AP Moeller Backtesting, AP Moeller Valuation, AP Moeller Correlation, AP Moeller Hype Analysis, AP Moeller Volatility, AP Moeller History as well as AP Moeller Performance.
  
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AP Moeller Target Price Odds to finish over 2098.89

The tendency of AMKAF Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 2,099  or more in 90 days
 1,679 90 days 2,099 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AP Moeller to move over $ 2,099  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This AP Moeller probability density function shows the probability of AMKAF Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AP Moeller price to stay between its current price of $ 1,679  and $ 2,099  at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.49 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon AP Moeller has a beta of -0.21. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding AP Moeller are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, AP Moeller is likely to outperform the market. Additionally AP Moeller has an alpha of 0.2525, implying that it can generate a 0.25 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   AP Moeller Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for AP Moeller

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AP Moeller. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,6761,6791,682
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,3351,3381,847
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,6101,6131,616
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1,5261,5831,640
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as AP Moeller. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against AP Moeller's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, AP Moeller's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in AP Moeller.

AP Moeller Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AP Moeller is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AP Moeller's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AP Moeller , one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AP Moeller within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.25
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.21
σ
Overall volatility
86.35
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

AP Moeller Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AP Moeller for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AP Moeller can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
AP Moeller had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 59.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

AP Moeller Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AMKAF Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AP Moeller's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AP Moeller's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding17.6 M

AP Moeller Technical Analysis

AP Moeller's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AMKAF Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AP Moeller . In general, you should focus on analyzing AMKAF Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

AP Moeller Predictive Forecast Models

AP Moeller's time-series forecasting models is one of many AP Moeller's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AP Moeller's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about AP Moeller

Checking the ongoing alerts about AP Moeller for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AP Moeller help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
AP Moeller had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 59.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Other Information on Investing in AMKAF Pink Sheet

AP Moeller financial ratios help investors to determine whether AMKAF Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AMKAF with respect to the benefits of owning AP Moeller security.