Alimentation Couchen Tard Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 52.68
| ANCTF Stock | USD 57.00 0.26 0.46% |
Alimentation |
Alimentation Couchen Target Price Odds to finish below 52.68
The tendency of Alimentation Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 52.68 or more in 90 days |
| 57.00 | 90 days | 52.68 | about 8.82 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Alimentation Couchen to drop to $ 52.68 or more in 90 days from now is about 8.82 (This Alimentation Couchen Tard probability density function shows the probability of Alimentation Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Alimentation Couchen Tard price to stay between $ 52.68 and its current price of $57.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 73.73 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Alimentation Couchen has a beta of 0.46. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Alimentation Couchen average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Alimentation Couchen Tard will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Alimentation Couchen Tard has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Alimentation Couchen Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Alimentation Couchen
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alimentation Couchen Tard. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Alimentation Couchen's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Alimentation Couchen Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Alimentation Couchen is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Alimentation Couchen's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Alimentation Couchen Tard, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Alimentation Couchen within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0062 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.46 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.89 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Alimentation Couchen Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Alimentation Couchen for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Alimentation Couchen Tard can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 24.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Dicks Sporting Goods Foundation Supports Anchorage Girls Hockey with 100,000 Grant |
Alimentation Couchen Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Alimentation Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Alimentation Couchen's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alimentation Couchen's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1 B |
Alimentation Couchen Technical Analysis
Alimentation Couchen's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Alimentation Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Alimentation Couchen Tard. In general, you should focus on analyzing Alimentation Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Alimentation Couchen Predictive Forecast Models
Alimentation Couchen's time-series forecasting models is one of many Alimentation Couchen's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Alimentation Couchen's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Alimentation Couchen Tard
Checking the ongoing alerts about Alimentation Couchen for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Alimentation Couchen Tard help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 24.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Dicks Sporting Goods Foundation Supports Anchorage Girls Hockey with 100,000 Grant |
Other Information on Investing in Alimentation Pink Sheet
Alimentation Couchen financial ratios help investors to determine whether Alimentation Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Alimentation with respect to the benefits of owning Alimentation Couchen security.