American National Group Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 22.03
| ANG-PB Stock | 24.91 0.07 0.28% |
American |
American National Target Price Odds to finish below 22.03
The tendency of American Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 22.03 or more in 90 days |
| 24.91 | 90 days | 22.03 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of American National to drop to 22.03 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This American National Group probability density function shows the probability of American Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of American National price to stay between 22.03 and its current price of 24.91 at the end of the 90-day period is about 58.15 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon American National has a beta of 0.1. This suggests as returns on the market go up, American National average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding American National Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally American National Group has an alpha of 0.0163, implying that it can generate a 0.0163 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). American National Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for American National
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American National. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.American National Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. American National is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the American National's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold American National Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of American National within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.10 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.29 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0054 |
American National Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of American National for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for American National can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| American National has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures |
American National Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of American Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential American National's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. American National's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 79.3 M |
American National Technical Analysis
American National's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. American Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of American National Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing American Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
American National Predictive Forecast Models
American National's time-series forecasting models is one of many American National's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary American National's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about American National
Checking the ongoing alerts about American National for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for American National help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| American National has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures |
Other Information on Investing in American Stock
American National financial ratios help investors to determine whether American Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in American with respect to the benefits of owning American National security.