Aberdeen New (UK) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 691.11

ANII Etf   816.00  6.00  0.74%   
Aberdeen New's future price is the expected price of Aberdeen New instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Aberdeen New India performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Aberdeen New Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Aberdeen New Correlation, Aberdeen New Hype Analysis, Aberdeen New Volatility, Aberdeen New History as well as Aberdeen New Performance.
  
Please specify Aberdeen New's target price for which you would like Aberdeen New odds to be computed.

Aberdeen New Target Price Odds to finish below 691.11

The tendency of Aberdeen Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  691.11  or more in 90 days
 816.00 90 days 691.11 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aberdeen New to drop to  691.11  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Aberdeen New India probability density function shows the probability of Aberdeen Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aberdeen New India price to stay between  691.11  and its current price of 816.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 89.85 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Aberdeen New has a beta of 0.23. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Aberdeen New average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Aberdeen New India will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Aberdeen New India has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Aberdeen New Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Aberdeen New

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aberdeen New India. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
815.04816.00816.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
807.04808.00897.60
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
811.84812.80813.76
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
741.30785.70830.10
Details

Aberdeen New Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aberdeen New is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aberdeen New's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aberdeen New India, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aberdeen New within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0021
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.23
σ
Overall volatility
22.26
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Aberdeen New Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aberdeen New for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aberdeen New India can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Aberdeen New generates negative cash flow from operations
About 62.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
The fund holds all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments

Aberdeen New Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aberdeen Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aberdeen New's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aberdeen New's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding53.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments6.5 M

Aberdeen New Technical Analysis

Aberdeen New's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aberdeen Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aberdeen New India. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aberdeen Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Aberdeen New Predictive Forecast Models

Aberdeen New's time-series forecasting models is one of many Aberdeen New's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aberdeen New's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Aberdeen New India

Checking the ongoing alerts about Aberdeen New for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aberdeen New India help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Aberdeen New generates negative cash flow from operations
About 62.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
The fund holds all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments

Other Information on Investing in Aberdeen Etf

Aberdeen New financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aberdeen Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aberdeen with respect to the benefits of owning Aberdeen New security.