Austindo Nusantara (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 736.75

ANJT Stock  IDR 735.00  5.00  0.68%   
Austindo Nusantara's future price is the expected price of Austindo Nusantara instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Austindo Nusantara Jaya performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Austindo Nusantara Backtesting, Austindo Nusantara Valuation, Austindo Nusantara Correlation, Austindo Nusantara Hype Analysis, Austindo Nusantara Volatility, Austindo Nusantara History as well as Austindo Nusantara Performance.
  
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Austindo Nusantara Target Price Odds to finish below 736.75

The tendency of Austindo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  736.75  after 90 days
 735.00 90 days 736.75 
about 76.44
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Austindo Nusantara to stay under  736.75  after 90 days from now is about 76.44 (This Austindo Nusantara Jaya probability density function shows the probability of Austindo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Austindo Nusantara Jaya price to stay between its current price of  735.00  and  736.75  at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Austindo Nusantara Jaya has a beta of -0.21. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Austindo Nusantara are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Austindo Nusantara Jaya is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Austindo Nusantara Jaya has an alpha of 0.1019, implying that it can generate a 0.1 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Austindo Nusantara Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Austindo Nusantara

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Austindo Nusantara Jaya. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
738.93740.00741.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
614.23615.30814.00
Details

Austindo Nusantara Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Austindo Nusantara is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Austindo Nusantara's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Austindo Nusantara Jaya, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Austindo Nusantara within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.10
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.21
σ
Overall volatility
16.66
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Austindo Nusantara Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Austindo Nusantara for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Austindo Nusantara Jaya can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 91.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Austindo Nusantara Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Austindo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Austindo Nusantara's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Austindo Nusantara's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3.3 B
Cash And Short Term Investments27.6 M

Austindo Nusantara Technical Analysis

Austindo Nusantara's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Austindo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Austindo Nusantara Jaya. In general, you should focus on analyzing Austindo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Austindo Nusantara Predictive Forecast Models

Austindo Nusantara's time-series forecasting models is one of many Austindo Nusantara's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Austindo Nusantara's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Austindo Nusantara Jaya

Checking the ongoing alerts about Austindo Nusantara for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Austindo Nusantara Jaya help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 91.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Austindo Stock

Austindo Nusantara financial ratios help investors to determine whether Austindo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Austindo with respect to the benefits of owning Austindo Nusantara security.