An2 Therapeutics Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.37
| ANTX Stock | USD 1.44 0.06 4.35% |
AN2 |
AN2 Therapeutics Target Price Odds to finish below 2.37
The tendency of AN2 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 2.37 after 90 days |
| 1.44 | 90 days | 2.37 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AN2 Therapeutics to stay under $ 2.37 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This AN2 Therapeutics probability density function shows the probability of AN2 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AN2 Therapeutics price to stay between its current price of $ 1.44 and $ 2.37 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.33 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days AN2 Therapeutics has a beta of 0.79. This suggests as returns on the market go up, AN2 Therapeutics average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding AN2 Therapeutics will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally AN2 Therapeutics has an alpha of 0.5616, implying that it can generate a 0.56 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). AN2 Therapeutics Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for AN2 Therapeutics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AN2 Therapeutics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AN2 Therapeutics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
AN2 Therapeutics Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AN2 Therapeutics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AN2 Therapeutics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AN2 Therapeutics, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AN2 Therapeutics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.56 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.79 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.19 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
AN2 Therapeutics Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AN2 Therapeutics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AN2 Therapeutics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AN2 Therapeutics may become a speculative penny stock | |
| AN2 Therapeutics appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| AN2 Therapeutics has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (64.73 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| AN2 Therapeutics currently holds about 113.39 M in cash with (53.29 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.84, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| AN2 Therapeutics has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 22.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from aol.com: Would he have lived When insurance companies deny cancer care to patients |
AN2 Therapeutics Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AN2 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AN2 Therapeutics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AN2 Therapeutics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 23.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 107.3 M |
AN2 Therapeutics Technical Analysis
AN2 Therapeutics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AN2 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AN2 Therapeutics. In general, you should focus on analyzing AN2 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AN2 Therapeutics Predictive Forecast Models
AN2 Therapeutics' time-series forecasting models is one of many AN2 Therapeutics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AN2 Therapeutics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AN2 Therapeutics
Checking the ongoing alerts about AN2 Therapeutics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AN2 Therapeutics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| AN2 Therapeutics may become a speculative penny stock | |
| AN2 Therapeutics appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| AN2 Therapeutics has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (64.73 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| AN2 Therapeutics currently holds about 113.39 M in cash with (53.29 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.84, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| AN2 Therapeutics has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 22.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from aol.com: Would he have lived When insurance companies deny cancer care to patients |
Additional Tools for AN2 Stock Analysis
When running AN2 Therapeutics' price analysis, check to measure AN2 Therapeutics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AN2 Therapeutics is operating at the current time. Most of AN2 Therapeutics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AN2 Therapeutics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AN2 Therapeutics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AN2 Therapeutics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.