Ampco Pittsburgh Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.88
| AP Stock | USD 2.02 0.03 1.51% |
Ampco |
Ampco Pittsburgh Target Price Odds to finish below 1.88
The tendency of Ampco Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 1.88 or more in 90 days |
| 2.02 | 90 days | 1.88 | about 44.14 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ampco Pittsburgh to drop to $ 1.88 or more in 90 days from now is about 44.14 (This Ampco Pittsburgh probability density function shows the probability of Ampco Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ampco Pittsburgh price to stay between $ 1.88 and its current price of $2.02 at the end of the 90-day period is about 36.11 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.56 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Ampco Pittsburgh will likely underperform. Additionally Ampco Pittsburgh has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Ampco Pittsburgh Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ampco Pittsburgh
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ampco Pittsburgh. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Ampco Pittsburgh Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ampco Pittsburgh is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ampco Pittsburgh's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ampco Pittsburgh, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ampco Pittsburgh within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.56 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.14 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0 |
Ampco Pittsburgh Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ampco Pittsburgh for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ampco Pittsburgh can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ampco Pittsburgh had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company generated the yearly revenue of 422.34 M. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (39.93 M) with gross profit of 62.19 M. | |
| Ampco Pittsburgh reports about 8.73 M in cash with (3.69 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.38. | |
| Roughly 26.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Ampco Pittsburgh Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ampco Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ampco Pittsburgh's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ampco Pittsburgh's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 19.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.3 M |
Ampco Pittsburgh Technical Analysis
Ampco Pittsburgh's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ampco Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ampco Pittsburgh. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ampco Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ampco Pittsburgh Predictive Forecast Models
Ampco Pittsburgh's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ampco Pittsburgh's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ampco Pittsburgh's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ampco Pittsburgh
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ampco Pittsburgh for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ampco Pittsburgh help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ampco Pittsburgh had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company generated the yearly revenue of 422.34 M. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (39.93 M) with gross profit of 62.19 M. | |
| Ampco Pittsburgh reports about 8.73 M in cash with (3.69 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.38. | |
| Roughly 26.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Ampco Stock Analysis
When running Ampco Pittsburgh's price analysis, check to measure Ampco Pittsburgh's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ampco Pittsburgh is operating at the current time. Most of Ampco Pittsburgh's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ampco Pittsburgh's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ampco Pittsburgh's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ampco Pittsburgh to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.