Apptech Payments Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.15
| APCXW Stock | USD 0.17 0.03 21.43% |
AppTech |
AppTech Payments Target Price Odds to finish below 0.15
The tendency of AppTech Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.15 or more in 90 days |
| 0.17 | 90 days | 0.15 | about 9.86 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AppTech Payments to drop to $ 0.15 or more in 90 days from now is about 9.86 (This AppTech Payments Corp probability density function shows the probability of AppTech Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AppTech Payments Corp price to stay between $ 0.15 and its current price of $0.17 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.94 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon AppTech Payments Corp has a beta of -3.88. This suggests as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding AppTech Payments Corp are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, AppTech Payments is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that AppTech Payments Corp has an alpha of 2.0121, implying that it can generate a 2.01 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). AppTech Payments Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AppTech Payments
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AppTech Payments Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AppTech Payments' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
AppTech Payments Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AppTech Payments is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AppTech Payments' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AppTech Payments Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AppTech Payments within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 2.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -3.88 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
AppTech Payments Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AppTech Payments for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AppTech Payments Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AppTech Payments generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| AppTech Payments has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| AppTech Payments has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| AppTech Payments has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| AppTech Payments Corp has accumulated 158 K in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.27, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. AppTech Payments Corp has a current ratio of 0.02, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Note, when we think about AppTech Payments' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 504 K. Net Loss for the year was (18.51 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| AppTech Payments Corp has accumulated about 22.5 K in cash with (8.86 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| AppTech Payments has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Top 3 Financial Stocks That Could Lead To Your Biggest Gains In Q4 - Benzinga |
AppTech Payments Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AppTech Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AppTech Payments' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AppTech Payments' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 19.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.3 M |
AppTech Payments Technical Analysis
AppTech Payments' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AppTech Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AppTech Payments Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing AppTech Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AppTech Payments Predictive Forecast Models
AppTech Payments' time-series forecasting models is one of many AppTech Payments' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AppTech Payments' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AppTech Payments Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about AppTech Payments for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AppTech Payments Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| AppTech Payments generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| AppTech Payments has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| AppTech Payments has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| AppTech Payments has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| AppTech Payments Corp has accumulated 158 K in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.27, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. AppTech Payments Corp has a current ratio of 0.02, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Note, when we think about AppTech Payments' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 504 K. Net Loss for the year was (18.51 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| AppTech Payments Corp has accumulated about 22.5 K in cash with (8.86 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| AppTech Payments has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Top 3 Financial Stocks That Could Lead To Your Biggest Gains In Q4 - Benzinga |
Additional Tools for AppTech Stock Analysis
When running AppTech Payments' price analysis, check to measure AppTech Payments' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AppTech Payments is operating at the current time. Most of AppTech Payments' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AppTech Payments' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AppTech Payments' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AppTech Payments to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.