Appgate Odds of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.13

APGTDelisted Stock  USD 0.13  0.00  0.00%   
Appgate's future price is the expected price of Appgate instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Appgate performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
  
Please specify Appgate's target price for which you would like Appgate odds to be computed.

Appgate Target Price Odds to finish over 0.13

The tendency of Appgate Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.13 90 days 0.13 
about 75.8
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Appgate to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 75.8 (This Appgate probability density function shows the probability of Appgate Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Appgate has a beta of -3.17. This suggests as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Appgate are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Appgate is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Appgate has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Appgate Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Appgate

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Appgate. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.130.130.13
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.120.120.14
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.080.080.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.100.140.17
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Appgate. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Appgate's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Appgate's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Appgate.

Appgate Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Appgate is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Appgate's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Appgate, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Appgate within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.64
β
Beta against Dow Jones-3.17
σ
Overall volatility
0.60
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Appgate Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Appgate for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Appgate can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Appgate is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Appgate has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Appgate has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Appgate currently holds 72.97 M in liabilities. Appgate has a current ratio of 0.59, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Appgate until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Appgate's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Appgate sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Appgate to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Appgate's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 45.31 M. Net Loss for the year was (74.47 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 29.24 M.
Appgate currently holds about 9.1 M in cash with (52.07 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.07.
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Why Palantir Stock is Moving Today

Appgate Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Appgate Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Appgate's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Appgate's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding50.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments26 M

Appgate Technical Analysis

Appgate's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Appgate Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Appgate. In general, you should focus on analyzing Appgate Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Appgate Predictive Forecast Models

Appgate's time-series forecasting models is one of many Appgate's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Appgate's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Appgate

Checking the ongoing alerts about Appgate for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Appgate help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Appgate is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Appgate has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Appgate has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Appgate currently holds 72.97 M in liabilities. Appgate has a current ratio of 0.59, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Appgate until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Appgate's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Appgate sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Appgate to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Appgate's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 45.31 M. Net Loss for the year was (74.47 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 29.24 M.
Appgate currently holds about 9.1 M in cash with (52.07 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.07.
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Why Palantir Stock is Moving Today
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.

Other Consideration for investing in Appgate Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Appgate check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Appgate's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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