Aerodrome (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 45.37
| APLY Stock | ILA 72.00 5.30 7.95% |
Aerodrome |
Aerodrome Target Price Odds to finish below 45.37
The tendency of Aerodrome Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 45.37 or more in 90 days |
| 72.00 | 90 days | 45.37 | about 19.69 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aerodrome to drop to 45.37 or more in 90 days from now is about 19.69 (This Aerodrome Group probability density function shows the probability of Aerodrome Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aerodrome Group price to stay between 45.37 and its current price of 72.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 42.52 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.9 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Aerodrome will likely underperform. Additionally Aerodrome Group has an alpha of 0.8301, implying that it can generate a 0.83 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Aerodrome Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Aerodrome
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aerodrome Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Aerodrome Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aerodrome is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aerodrome's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aerodrome Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aerodrome within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.83 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.90 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 22.89 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Aerodrome Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aerodrome for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aerodrome Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Aerodrome Group is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Aerodrome Group appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company has a current ratio of 0.74, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Aerodrome until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Aerodrome's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Aerodrome Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Aerodrome to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Aerodrome's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Aerodrome Group reported the revenue of 3.36 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.44 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.13 M. | |
| Aerodrome Group has accumulated about 849 K in cash with (4.02 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.05. | |
| Roughly 71.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Aerodrome Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aerodrome Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aerodrome's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aerodrome's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Shares Float | 5 M |
Aerodrome Technical Analysis
Aerodrome's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aerodrome Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aerodrome Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aerodrome Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Aerodrome Predictive Forecast Models
Aerodrome's time-series forecasting models is one of many Aerodrome's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aerodrome's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Aerodrome Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Aerodrome for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aerodrome Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Aerodrome Group is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Aerodrome Group appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company has a current ratio of 0.74, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Aerodrome until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Aerodrome's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Aerodrome Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Aerodrome to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Aerodrome's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Aerodrome Group reported the revenue of 3.36 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.44 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.13 M. | |
| Aerodrome Group has accumulated about 849 K in cash with (4.02 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.05. | |
| Roughly 71.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Aerodrome Stock
Aerodrome financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aerodrome Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aerodrome with respect to the benefits of owning Aerodrome security.