Auto Partner (Poland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 20.80

APR Stock   20.80  0.30  1.46%   
Auto Partner's future price is the expected price of Auto Partner instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Auto Partner SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in housing.
  
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Auto Partner Target Price Odds to finish over 20.80

The tendency of Auto Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 20.80 90 days 20.80 
about 90.63
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Auto Partner to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 90.63 (This Auto Partner SA probability density function shows the probability of Auto Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Auto Partner has a beta of 0.0196. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Auto Partner average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Auto Partner SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Auto Partner SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Auto Partner Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Auto Partner

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Auto Partner SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Auto Partner's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.

Auto Partner Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Auto Partner is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Auto Partner's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Auto Partner SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Auto Partner within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.02
σ
Overall volatility
1.10
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Auto Partner Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Auto Partner for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Auto Partner SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Auto Partner SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Auto Partner Technical Analysis

Auto Partner's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Auto Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Auto Partner SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Auto Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Auto Partner Predictive Forecast Models

Auto Partner's time-series forecasting models is one of many Auto Partner's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Auto Partner's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Auto Partner SA

Checking the ongoing alerts about Auto Partner for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Auto Partner SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Auto Partner SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Additional Tools for Auto Stock Analysis

When running Auto Partner's price analysis, check to measure Auto Partner's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Auto Partner is operating at the current time. Most of Auto Partner's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Auto Partner's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Auto Partner's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Auto Partner to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.