Apyx Medical Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.65
| APYX Stock | USD 1.81 0.03 1.63% |
Apyx |
Apyx Medical Target Price Odds to finish below 1.65
The tendency of Apyx Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 1.65 or more in 90 days |
| 1.81 | 90 days | 1.65 | about 98.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Apyx Medical to drop to $ 1.65 or more in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Apyx Medical probability density function shows the probability of Apyx Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Apyx Medical price to stay between $ 1.65 and its current price of $1.81 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.08 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Apyx Medical has a beta of 0.65. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Apyx Medical average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Apyx Medical will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Apyx Medical has an alpha of 0.695, implying that it can generate a 0.69 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Apyx Medical Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Apyx Medical
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Apyx Medical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Apyx Medical's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Apyx Medical Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Apyx Medical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Apyx Medical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Apyx Medical, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Apyx Medical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.69 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.65 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.10 |
Apyx Medical Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Apyx Medical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Apyx Medical can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Apyx Medical is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Apyx Medical may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Apyx Medical appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 52.35 M. Net Loss for the year was (18.85 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 29.13 M. | |
| Apyx Medical currently holds about 20.06 M in cash with (5.25 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.58. | |
| Apyx Medical has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 24000 shares by Waldman Lawrence of Apyx Medical at 2.54 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Apyx Medical Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Apyx Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Apyx Medical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Apyx Medical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 34.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 43.7 M |
Apyx Medical Technical Analysis
Apyx Medical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Apyx Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Apyx Medical. In general, you should focus on analyzing Apyx Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Apyx Medical Predictive Forecast Models
Apyx Medical's time-series forecasting models is one of many Apyx Medical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Apyx Medical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Apyx Medical
Checking the ongoing alerts about Apyx Medical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Apyx Medical help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Apyx Medical is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Apyx Medical may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Apyx Medical appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 52.35 M. Net Loss for the year was (18.85 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 29.13 M. | |
| Apyx Medical currently holds about 20.06 M in cash with (5.25 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.58. | |
| Apyx Medical has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 24000 shares by Waldman Lawrence of Apyx Medical at 2.54 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Additional Tools for Apyx Stock Analysis
When running Apyx Medical's price analysis, check to measure Apyx Medical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Apyx Medical is operating at the current time. Most of Apyx Medical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Apyx Medical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Apyx Medical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Apyx Medical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.