Antero Resources Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 19.54
| AR Stock | USD 32.91 1.86 5.99% |
Closest to current price Antero long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Antero |
Antero Resources Target Price Odds to finish below 19.54
The tendency of Antero Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 19.54 or more in 90 days |
| 32.91 | 90 days | 19.54 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Antero Resources to drop to $ 19.54 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Antero Resources Corp probability density function shows the probability of Antero Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Antero Resources Corp price to stay between $ 19.54 and its current price of $32.91 at the end of the 90-day period is over 95.41 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.12 . This suggests Antero Resources Corp market returns are sensible to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Antero Resources is expected to follow. Additionally Antero Resources Corp has an alpha of 0.2131, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Antero Resources Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Antero Resources
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Antero Resources Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Antero Resources Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Antero Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Antero Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Antero Resources Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Antero Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Antero Resources Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Antero Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Antero Resources Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Antero Resources Corp reports 4.51 B of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.73, which is normal for its line of buisiness. Antero Resources Corp has a current ratio of 0.37, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Antero to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Antero Resources has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 85.0% of Antero Resources shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Janus Henderson Group PLC Cuts Stake in Antero Resources Co. - MarketBeat |
Antero Resources Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Antero Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Antero Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Antero Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 311.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | -5.6 M |
Antero Resources Technical Analysis
Antero Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Antero Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Antero Resources Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Antero Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Antero Resources Predictive Forecast Models
Antero Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many Antero Resources' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Antero Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Antero Resources Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Antero Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Antero Resources Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Antero Resources Corp reports 4.51 B of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.73, which is normal for its line of buisiness. Antero Resources Corp has a current ratio of 0.37, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Antero to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Antero Resources has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 85.0% of Antero Resources shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Janus Henderson Group PLC Cuts Stake in Antero Resources Co. - MarketBeat |
Additional Tools for Antero Stock Analysis
When running Antero Resources' price analysis, check to measure Antero Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Antero Resources is operating at the current time. Most of Antero Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Antero Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Antero Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Antero Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.