Altareit (France) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 468.84
| AREIT Stock | EUR 470.00 2.00 0.43% |
Altareit |
Altareit Target Price Odds to finish below 468.84
The tendency of Altareit Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 468.84 or more in 90 days |
| 470.00 | 90 days | 468.84 | about 80.77 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Altareit to drop to € 468.84 or more in 90 days from now is about 80.77 (This Altareit probability density function shows the probability of Altareit Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Altareit price to stay between € 468.84 and its current price of €470.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.73 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Altareit has a beta of 0.01. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Altareit average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Altareit will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Altareit has an alpha of 0.0555, implying that it can generate a 0.0555 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Altareit Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Altareit
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Altareit. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Altareit's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Altareit Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Altareit is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Altareit's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Altareit, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Altareit within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.83 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Altareit Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Altareit for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Altareit can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 100.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Altareit Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Altareit Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Altareit's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Altareit's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.4 B |
Altareit Technical Analysis
Altareit's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Altareit Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Altareit. In general, you should focus on analyzing Altareit Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Altareit Predictive Forecast Models
Altareit's time-series forecasting models is one of many Altareit's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Altareit's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Altareit
Checking the ongoing alerts about Altareit for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Altareit help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 100.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Altareit Stock Analysis
When running Altareit's price analysis, check to measure Altareit's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Altareit is operating at the current time. Most of Altareit's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Altareit's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Altareit's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Altareit to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.