Argent (South Africa) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2,766

ART Stock   2,742  17.00  0.62%   
Argent's future price is the expected price of Argent instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Argent performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Argent Backtesting, Argent Valuation, Argent Correlation, Argent Hype Analysis, Argent Volatility, Argent History as well as Argent Performance.
  
Please specify Argent's target price for which you would like Argent odds to be computed.

Argent Target Price Odds to finish over 2,766

The tendency of Argent Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 2,742 90 days 2,742 
about 20.44
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Argent to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 20.44 (This Argent probability density function shows the probability of Argent Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Argent has a beta of -0.12. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Argent are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Argent is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Argent has an alpha of 0.0954, implying that it can generate a 0.0954 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Argent Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Argent

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Argent. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,7402,7422,744
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,3082,3103,016
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2,6572,6582,660
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2,6252,7342,843
Details

Argent Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Argent is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Argent's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Argent, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Argent within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.12
σ
Overall volatility
59.32
Ir
Information ratio -0.0036

Argent Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Argent for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Argent can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 47.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Argent Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Argent Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Argent's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Argent's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding60.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments183.5 M

Argent Technical Analysis

Argent's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Argent Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Argent. In general, you should focus on analyzing Argent Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Argent Predictive Forecast Models

Argent's time-series forecasting models is one of many Argent's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Argent's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Argent

Checking the ongoing alerts about Argent for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Argent help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 47.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Argent Stock

Argent financial ratios help investors to determine whether Argent Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Argent with respect to the benefits of owning Argent security.