Automotive Stampings (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 702.35

ASAL Stock   684.00  31.90  4.89%   
Automotive Stampings' future price is the expected price of Automotive Stampings instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Automotive Stampings and performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Automotive Stampings Backtesting, Automotive Stampings Valuation, Automotive Stampings Correlation, Automotive Stampings Hype Analysis, Automotive Stampings Volatility, Automotive Stampings History as well as Automotive Stampings Performance.
  
Please specify Automotive Stampings' target price for which you would like Automotive Stampings odds to be computed.

Automotive Stampings Target Price Odds to finish over 702.35

The tendency of Automotive Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  702.35  or more in 90 days
 684.00 90 days 702.35 
about 52.83
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Automotive Stampings to move over  702.35  or more in 90 days from now is about 52.83 (This Automotive Stampings and probability density function shows the probability of Automotive Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Automotive Stampings and price to stay between its current price of  684.00  and  702.35  at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.08 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Automotive Stampings and has a beta of -0.0021. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Automotive Stampings are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Automotive Stampings and is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Automotive Stampings and has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Automotive Stampings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Automotive Stampings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Automotive Stampings and. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
615.60696.08698.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
615.60794.59797.47
Details

Automotive Stampings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Automotive Stampings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Automotive Stampings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Automotive Stampings and, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Automotive Stampings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.25
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.0021
σ
Overall volatility
43.44
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Automotive Stampings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Automotive Stampings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Automotive Stampings and can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Automotive Stampings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Automotive Stampings is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Latest headline from news.google.com: Automotive Stampings Assemblies Ltds Stock Sees Significant Increase, Outperforms Sector - MarketsMojo

Automotive Stampings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Automotive Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Automotive Stampings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Automotive Stampings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding15.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments18.8 M

Automotive Stampings Technical Analysis

Automotive Stampings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Automotive Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Automotive Stampings and. In general, you should focus on analyzing Automotive Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Automotive Stampings Predictive Forecast Models

Automotive Stampings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Automotive Stampings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Automotive Stampings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Automotive Stampings and

Checking the ongoing alerts about Automotive Stampings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Automotive Stampings and help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Automotive Stampings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Automotive Stampings is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Latest headline from news.google.com: Automotive Stampings Assemblies Ltds Stock Sees Significant Increase, Outperforms Sector - MarketsMojo

Additional Tools for Automotive Stock Analysis

When running Automotive Stampings' price analysis, check to measure Automotive Stampings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Automotive Stampings is operating at the current time. Most of Automotive Stampings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Automotive Stampings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Automotive Stampings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Automotive Stampings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.