Lebenthal Lisanti Small Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 25.81

ASCGX Fund  USD 22.21  0.54  2.37%   
Lebenthal Lisanti's future price is the expected price of Lebenthal Lisanti instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Lebenthal Lisanti Small performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Lebenthal Lisanti Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Lebenthal Lisanti Correlation, Lebenthal Lisanti Hype Analysis, Lebenthal Lisanti Volatility, Lebenthal Lisanti History as well as Lebenthal Lisanti Performance.
  
Please specify Lebenthal Lisanti's target price for which you would like Lebenthal Lisanti odds to be computed.

Lebenthal Lisanti Target Price Odds to finish over 25.81

The tendency of Lebenthal Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 25.81  or more in 90 days
 22.21 90 days 25.81 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lebenthal Lisanti to move over $ 25.81  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Lebenthal Lisanti Small probability density function shows the probability of Lebenthal Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lebenthal Lisanti Small price to stay between its current price of $ 22.21  and $ 25.81  at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.78 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Lebenthal Lisanti has a beta of 0.43. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Lebenthal Lisanti average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Lebenthal Lisanti Small will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Lebenthal Lisanti Small has an alpha of 0.2278, implying that it can generate a 0.23 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Lebenthal Lisanti Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Lebenthal Lisanti

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lebenthal Lisanti Small. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.9122.2123.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.8823.1824.48
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.9822.2823.58
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
21.0022.0823.16
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Lebenthal Lisanti. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Lebenthal Lisanti's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Lebenthal Lisanti's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Lebenthal Lisanti Small.

Lebenthal Lisanti Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lebenthal Lisanti is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lebenthal Lisanti's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lebenthal Lisanti Small, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lebenthal Lisanti within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.23
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.43
σ
Overall volatility
1.05
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Lebenthal Lisanti Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lebenthal Lisanti for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lebenthal Lisanti Small can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: FPA Queen Road Small Cap Value Fund Q3 2024 Commentary - Seeking Alpha
The fund generated three year return of -2.0%
Lebenthal Lisanti Small holds 96.62% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Lebenthal Lisanti Technical Analysis

Lebenthal Lisanti's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lebenthal Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lebenthal Lisanti Small. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lebenthal Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Lebenthal Lisanti Predictive Forecast Models

Lebenthal Lisanti's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lebenthal Lisanti's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lebenthal Lisanti's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Lebenthal Lisanti Small

Checking the ongoing alerts about Lebenthal Lisanti for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lebenthal Lisanti Small help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: FPA Queen Road Small Cap Value Fund Q3 2024 Commentary - Seeking Alpha
The fund generated three year return of -2.0%
Lebenthal Lisanti Small holds 96.62% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Lebenthal Mutual Fund

Lebenthal Lisanti financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lebenthal Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lebenthal with respect to the benefits of owning Lebenthal Lisanti security.
AI Portfolio Architect
Use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities
Portfolio Analyzer
Portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine
Stock Tickers
Use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites
Idea Analyzer
Analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas