Lanka Realty (Sri Lanka) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 10.5
| ASCON0000 | 11.60 0.20 1.69% |
Lanka |
Lanka Realty Target Price Odds to finish below 10.5
The tendency of Lanka Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 10.50 or more in 90 days |
| 11.60 | 90 days | 10.50 | about 47.25 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lanka Realty to drop to 10.50 or more in 90 days from now is about 47.25 (This Lanka Realty Investments probability density function shows the probability of Lanka Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lanka Realty Investments price to stay between 10.50 and its current price of 11.6 at the end of the 90-day period is about 51.2 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Lanka Realty Investments has a beta of -0.14. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Lanka Realty are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Lanka Realty Investments is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Lanka Realty Investments has an alpha of 0.306, implying that it can generate a 0.31 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Lanka Realty Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Lanka Realty
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lanka Realty Investments. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Lanka Realty Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lanka Realty is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lanka Realty's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lanka Realty Investments, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lanka Realty within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.31 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.48 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Lanka Realty Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lanka Realty for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lanka Realty Investments can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Lanka Realty had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
Lanka Realty Technical Analysis
Lanka Realty's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lanka Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lanka Realty Investments. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lanka Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lanka Realty Predictive Forecast Models
Lanka Realty's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lanka Realty's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lanka Realty's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Lanka Realty Investments
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lanka Realty for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lanka Realty Investments help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Lanka Realty had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in Lanka Stock
Lanka Realty financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lanka Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lanka with respect to the benefits of owning Lanka Realty security.