ASR Nederland (Netherlands) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 42.78
| ASRNL Stock | EUR 45.27 0.60 1.34% |
ASR |
ASR Nederland Target Price Odds to finish below 42.78
The tendency of ASR Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 42.78 or more in 90 days |
| 45.27 | 90 days | 42.78 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ASR Nederland to drop to € 42.78 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This ASR Nederland NV probability density function shows the probability of ASR Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ASR Nederland NV price to stay between € 42.78 and its current price of €45.27 at the end of the 90-day period is about 78.95 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ASR Nederland NV has a beta of -0.13. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding ASR Nederland are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, ASR Nederland NV is likely to outperform the market. Additionally ASR Nederland NV has an alpha of 0.0517, implying that it can generate a 0.0517 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). ASR Nederland Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for ASR Nederland
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ASR Nederland NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ASR Nederland Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ASR Nederland is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ASR Nederland's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ASR Nederland NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ASR Nederland within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.73 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
ASR Nederland Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ASR Nederland for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ASR Nederland NV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company has €6.87 Billion in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing | |
| Over 75.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
ASR Nederland Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ASR Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ASR Nederland's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ASR Nederland's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 135.8 M |
ASR Nederland Technical Analysis
ASR Nederland's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ASR Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ASR Nederland NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing ASR Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
ASR Nederland Predictive Forecast Models
ASR Nederland's time-series forecasting models is one of many ASR Nederland's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ASR Nederland's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about ASR Nederland NV
Checking the ongoing alerts about ASR Nederland for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ASR Nederland NV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company has €6.87 Billion in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing | |
| Over 75.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Other Information on Investing in ASR Stock
ASR Nederland financial ratios help investors to determine whether ASR Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ASR with respect to the benefits of owning ASR Nederland security.