Auction Technology (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 409.38
| ATG Stock | 557.00 3.00 0.54% |
Auction |
Auction Technology Target Price Odds to finish below 409.38
The tendency of Auction Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 409.38 or more in 90 days |
| 557.00 | 90 days | 409.38 | about 11.88 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Auction Technology to drop to 409.38 or more in 90 days from now is about 11.88 (This Auction Technology Group probability density function shows the probability of Auction Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Auction Technology price to stay between 409.38 and its current price of 557.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 80.65 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Auction Technology has a beta of 0.11. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Auction Technology average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Auction Technology Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Auction Technology Group has an alpha of 0.4638, implying that it can generate a 0.46 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Auction Technology Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Auction Technology
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Auction Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Auction Technology Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Auction Technology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Auction Technology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Auction Technology Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Auction Technology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.46 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 56.26 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.15 |
Auction Technology Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Auction Technology for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Auction Technology can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Auction Technology is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 80.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Director Resignation at Auction Technology Group - TipRanks |
Auction Technology Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Auction Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Auction Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Auction Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 121.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.1 M |
Auction Technology Technical Analysis
Auction Technology's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Auction Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Auction Technology Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Auction Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Auction Technology Predictive Forecast Models
Auction Technology's time-series forecasting models is one of many Auction Technology's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Auction Technology's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Auction Technology
Checking the ongoing alerts about Auction Technology for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Auction Technology help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Auction Technology is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 80.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Director Resignation at Auction Technology Group - TipRanks |
Other Information on Investing in Auction Stock
Auction Technology financial ratios help investors to determine whether Auction Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Auction with respect to the benefits of owning Auction Technology security.