Ati Physical Therapy Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 28.08
| ATIP Stock | USD 1.53 0.14 8.38% |
ATI |
ATI Physical Target Price Odds to finish over 28.08
The tendency of ATI Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 28.08 or more in 90 days |
| 1.53 | 90 days | 28.08 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ATI Physical to move over $ 28.08 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This ATI Physical Therapy probability density function shows the probability of ATI Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ATI Physical Therapy price to stay between its current price of $ 1.53 and $ 28.08 at the end of the 90-day period is about 97.0 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days ATI Physical has a beta of 0.0146. This suggests as returns on the market go up, ATI Physical average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ATI Physical Therapy will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ATI Physical Therapy has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. ATI Physical Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for ATI Physical
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ATI Physical Therapy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ATI Physical Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ATI Physical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ATI Physical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ATI Physical Therapy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ATI Physical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.83 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.71 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.3 |
ATI Physical Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ATI Physical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ATI Physical Therapy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| ATI Physical Therapy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| ATI Physical Therapy has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| ATI Physical Therapy may become a speculative penny stock | |
| ATI Physical Therapy has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 699.02 M. Net Loss for the year was (69.8 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 263.82 M. | |
| ATI Physical Therapy currently holds about 79.68 M in cash with (12.37 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.38. | |
| ATI Physical Therapy has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 66.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: ATI Physical Therapy, Inc. Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript |
ATI Physical Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ATI Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ATI Physical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ATI Physical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 36.8 M |
ATI Physical Technical Analysis
ATI Physical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ATI Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ATI Physical Therapy. In general, you should focus on analyzing ATI Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
ATI Physical Predictive Forecast Models
ATI Physical's time-series forecasting models is one of many ATI Physical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ATI Physical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about ATI Physical Therapy
Checking the ongoing alerts about ATI Physical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ATI Physical Therapy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| ATI Physical Therapy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| ATI Physical Therapy has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| ATI Physical Therapy may become a speculative penny stock | |
| ATI Physical Therapy has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 699.02 M. Net Loss for the year was (69.8 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 263.82 M. | |
| ATI Physical Therapy currently holds about 79.68 M in cash with (12.37 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.38. | |
| ATI Physical Therapy has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 66.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: ATI Physical Therapy, Inc. Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript |
Additional Tools for ATI Stock Analysis
When running ATI Physical's price analysis, check to measure ATI Physical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ATI Physical is operating at the current time. Most of ATI Physical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ATI Physical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ATI Physical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ATI Physical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.