ATI Physical Therapy Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5.85
| ATIPDelisted Stock | USD 0.68 0.06 9.68% |
ATI |
ATI Physical Target Price Odds to finish below 5.85
The tendency of ATI Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 5.85 after 90 days |
| 0.68 | 90 days | 5.85 | about 74.4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ATI Physical to stay under $ 5.85 after 90 days from now is about 74.4 (This ATI Physical Therapy probability density function shows the probability of ATI Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ATI Physical Therapy price to stay between its current price of $ 0.68 and $ 5.85 at the end of the 90-day period is about 72.88 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days ATI Physical has a beta of 0.98. This suggests ATI Physical Therapy market returns are sensible to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, ATI Physical is expected to follow. Additionally ATI Physical Therapy has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. ATI Physical Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for ATI Physical
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ATI Physical Therapy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ATI Physical Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ATI Physical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ATI Physical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ATI Physical Therapy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ATI Physical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -2.62 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.98 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.84 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.26 |
ATI Physical Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ATI Physical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ATI Physical Therapy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| ATI Physical Therapy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| ATI Physical Therapy has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| ATI Physical Therapy has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| ATI Physical Therapy has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 699.02 M. Net Loss for the year was (69.8 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 263.82 M. | |
| ATI Physical Therapy currently holds about 79.68 M in cash with (12.37 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.38. | |
| Roughly 66.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from businesswire.com: NYSE to Commence Delisting Proceedings Against ATI Physical Therapy, Inc. |
ATI Physical Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ATI Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ATI Physical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ATI Physical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 36.8 M |
ATI Physical Technical Analysis
ATI Physical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ATI Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ATI Physical Therapy. In general, you should focus on analyzing ATI Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
ATI Physical Predictive Forecast Models
ATI Physical's time-series forecasting models is one of many ATI Physical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ATI Physical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about ATI Physical Therapy
Checking the ongoing alerts about ATI Physical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ATI Physical Therapy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| ATI Physical Therapy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| ATI Physical Therapy has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| ATI Physical Therapy has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| ATI Physical Therapy has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 699.02 M. Net Loss for the year was (69.8 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 263.82 M. | |
| ATI Physical Therapy currently holds about 79.68 M in cash with (12.37 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.38. | |
| Roughly 66.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from businesswire.com: NYSE to Commence Delisting Proceedings Against ATI Physical Therapy, Inc. |
Check out ATI Physical Backtesting, ATI Physical Valuation, ATI Physical Correlation, ATI Physical Hype Analysis, ATI Physical Volatility, ATI Physical History as well as ATI Physical Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.
Other Consideration for investing in ATI Stock
If you are still planning to invest in ATI Physical Therapy check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the ATI Physical's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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