Atlanticus Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 24.68
| ATLCZ Stock | 24.95 0.03 0.12% |
Atlanticus |
Atlanticus Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 24.68
The tendency of Atlanticus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 24.68 or more in 90 days |
| 24.95 | 90 days | 24.68 | about 18.19 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Atlanticus Holdings to drop to 24.68 or more in 90 days from now is about 18.19 (This Atlanticus Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Atlanticus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Atlanticus Holdings price to stay between 24.68 and its current price of 24.95 at the end of the 90-day period is about 63.16 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Atlanticus Holdings has a beta of 0.0429. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Atlanticus Holdings average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Atlanticus Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Atlanticus Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Atlanticus Holdings Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Atlanticus Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Atlanticus Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Atlanticus Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Atlanticus Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Atlanticus Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Atlanticus Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Atlanticus Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Atlanticus Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0017 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.15 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.48 |
Atlanticus Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Atlanticus Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Atlanticus Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Atlanticus Holdings has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| On 15th of October 2024 Atlanticus Holdings paid 0.5781 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Atlanticus Holdings Corp Shares Up 3.29 percent on Nov 14 - GuruFocus.com |
Atlanticus Holdings Technical Analysis
Atlanticus Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Atlanticus Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Atlanticus Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Atlanticus Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Atlanticus Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
Atlanticus Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Atlanticus Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Atlanticus Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Atlanticus Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Atlanticus Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Atlanticus Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Atlanticus Holdings has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| On 15th of October 2024 Atlanticus Holdings paid 0.5781 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Atlanticus Holdings Corp Shares Up 3.29 percent on Nov 14 - GuruFocus.com |
Additional Tools for Atlanticus Stock Analysis
When running Atlanticus Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Atlanticus Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Atlanticus Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Atlanticus Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Atlanticus Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Atlanticus Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Atlanticus Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.