Atalaya Mining (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 367.21
| ATYM Stock | 345.00 11.50 3.45% |
Atalaya |
Atalaya Mining Target Price Odds to finish over 367.21
The tendency of Atalaya Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 367.21 or more in 90 days |
| 345.00 | 90 days | 367.21 | about 50.28 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Atalaya Mining to move over 367.21 or more in 90 days from now is about 50.28 (This Atalaya Mining probability density function shows the probability of Atalaya Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Atalaya Mining price to stay between its current price of 345.00 and 367.21 at the end of the 90-day period is about 36.41 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Atalaya Mining has a beta of -0.0879. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Atalaya Mining are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Atalaya Mining is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Atalaya Mining has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Atalaya Mining Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Atalaya Mining
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Atalaya Mining. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Atalaya Mining Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Atalaya Mining is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Atalaya Mining's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Atalaya Mining, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Atalaya Mining within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 20.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Atalaya Mining Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Atalaya Mining for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Atalaya Mining can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Atalaya Mining generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Atalaya Mining is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 31.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Atalaya Mining Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Atalaya Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Atalaya Mining's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Atalaya Mining's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 144.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 121 M |
Atalaya Mining Technical Analysis
Atalaya Mining's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Atalaya Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Atalaya Mining. In general, you should focus on analyzing Atalaya Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Atalaya Mining Predictive Forecast Models
Atalaya Mining's time-series forecasting models is one of many Atalaya Mining's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Atalaya Mining's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Atalaya Mining
Checking the ongoing alerts about Atalaya Mining for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Atalaya Mining help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Atalaya Mining generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Atalaya Mining is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 31.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Atalaya Stock Analysis
When running Atalaya Mining's price analysis, check to measure Atalaya Mining's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Atalaya Mining is operating at the current time. Most of Atalaya Mining's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Atalaya Mining's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Atalaya Mining's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Atalaya Mining to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.