1911 Gold Corp Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.12

AUMBF Stock  USD 0.11  0.01  8.33%   
1911 Gold's future price is the expected price of 1911 Gold instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of 1911 Gold Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out 1911 Gold Backtesting, 1911 Gold Valuation, 1911 Gold Correlation, 1911 Gold Hype Analysis, 1911 Gold Volatility, 1911 Gold History as well as 1911 Gold Performance.
  
Please specify 1911 Gold's target price for which you would like 1911 Gold odds to be computed.

1911 Gold Target Price Odds to finish below 0.12

The tendency of 1911 Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 0.12  after 90 days
 0.11 90 days 0.12 
about 49.89
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 1911 Gold to stay under $ 0.12  after 90 days from now is about 49.89 (This 1911 Gold Corp probability density function shows the probability of 1911 Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of 1911 Gold Corp price to stay between its current price of $ 0.11  and $ 0.12  at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.16 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 1.22 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, 1911 Gold will likely underperform. Additionally 1911 Gold Corp has an alpha of 0.6926, implying that it can generate a 0.69 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   1911 Gold Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for 1911 Gold

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as 1911 Gold Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.1110.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.110.34
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.1110.35
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.110.120.13
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 1911 Gold. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 1911 Gold's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 1911 Gold's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in 1911 Gold Corp.

1911 Gold Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 1911 Gold is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 1911 Gold's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold 1911 Gold Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 1911 Gold within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.69
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.22
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

1911 Gold Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 1911 Gold for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for 1911 Gold Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
1911 Gold Corp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
1911 Gold Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
1911 Gold Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 9.67 M. Net Loss for the year was (8.76 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (3.2 M).
1911 Gold Corp has accumulated about 1.64 M in cash with (7.29 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02.

1911 Gold Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 1911 Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential 1911 Gold's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. 1911 Gold's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding68.2 M

1911 Gold Technical Analysis

1911 Gold's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 1911 Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of 1911 Gold Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing 1911 Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

1911 Gold Predictive Forecast Models

1911 Gold's time-series forecasting models is one of many 1911 Gold's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 1911 Gold's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about 1911 Gold Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about 1911 Gold for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for 1911 Gold Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
1911 Gold Corp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
1911 Gold Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
1911 Gold Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 9.67 M. Net Loss for the year was (8.76 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (3.2 M).
1911 Gold Corp has accumulated about 1.64 M in cash with (7.29 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02.

Other Information on Investing in 1911 Pink Sheet

1911 Gold financial ratios help investors to determine whether 1911 Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 1911 with respect to the benefits of owning 1911 Gold security.