AU Optronics Corp Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 4.78
| AUOTYDelisted Stock | USD 5.90 0.50 7.81% |
AUOTY |
AU Optronics Target Price Odds to finish over 4.78
The tendency of AUOTY Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 4.78 in 90 days |
| 5.90 | 90 days | 4.78 | under 95 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AU Optronics to stay above $ 4.78 in 90 days from now is under 95 (This AU Optronics Corp probability density function shows the probability of AUOTY Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AU Optronics Corp price to stay between $ 4.78 and its current price of $5.9 at the end of the 90-day period is about 88.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon AU Optronics has a beta of 0.16. This suggests as returns on the market go up, AU Optronics average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding AU Optronics Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally AU Optronics Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. AU Optronics Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AU Optronics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AU Optronics Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AU Optronics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
AU Optronics Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AU Optronics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AU Optronics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AU Optronics Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AU Optronics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.36 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
AU Optronics Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AU Optronics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AU Optronics Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AU Optronics Corp is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| AU Optronics Corp has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years |
AU Optronics Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AUOTY Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AU Optronics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AU Optronics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 784.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 92.3 B |
AU Optronics Technical Analysis
AU Optronics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AUOTY Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AU Optronics Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing AUOTY Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AU Optronics Predictive Forecast Models
AU Optronics' time-series forecasting models is one of many AU Optronics' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AU Optronics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AU Optronics Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about AU Optronics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AU Optronics Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| AU Optronics Corp is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| AU Optronics Corp has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate. You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
Other Consideration for investing in AUOTY Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in AU Optronics Corp check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the AU Optronics' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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