AutoStore Holdings (Norway) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 9.00

AUTO Stock   12.10  0.20  1.68%   
AutoStore Holdings' future price is the expected price of AutoStore Holdings instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of AutoStore Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out AutoStore Holdings Backtesting, AutoStore Holdings Valuation, AutoStore Holdings Correlation, AutoStore Holdings Hype Analysis, AutoStore Holdings Volatility, AutoStore Holdings History as well as AutoStore Holdings Performance.
  
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AutoStore Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 9.00

The tendency of AutoStore Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  9.00  or more in 90 days
 12.10 90 days 9.00 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AutoStore Holdings to drop to  9.00  or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This AutoStore Holdings probability density function shows the probability of AutoStore Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AutoStore Holdings price to stay between  9.00  and its current price of 12.1 at the end of the 90-day period is more than 93.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.37 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, AutoStore Holdings will likely underperform. Additionally AutoStore Holdings has an alpha of 0.0337, implying that it can generate a 0.0337 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   AutoStore Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for AutoStore Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AutoStore Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.0012.1015.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.3111.4114.51
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.1311.2314.33
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.2911.8712.45
Details

AutoStore Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AutoStore Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AutoStore Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AutoStore Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AutoStore Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.37
σ
Overall volatility
0.84
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

AutoStore Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AutoStore Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AutoStore Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
AutoStore Holdings had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 325.8 M. Net Loss for the year was (50.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 218 M.
About 60.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

AutoStore Holdings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AutoStore Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AutoStore Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AutoStore Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3.3 B
Cash And Short Term Investments146.9 M

AutoStore Holdings Technical Analysis

AutoStore Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AutoStore Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AutoStore Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing AutoStore Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

AutoStore Holdings Predictive Forecast Models

AutoStore Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many AutoStore Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AutoStore Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about AutoStore Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about AutoStore Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AutoStore Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
AutoStore Holdings had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 325.8 M. Net Loss for the year was (50.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 218 M.
About 60.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Other Information on Investing in AutoStore Stock

AutoStore Holdings financial ratios help investors to determine whether AutoStore Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AutoStore with respect to the benefits of owning AutoStore Holdings security.