Allegiant Gold Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 0.095
| AUXXF Stock | USD 0.09 0 4.40% |
Allegiant |
Allegiant Gold Target Price Odds to finish below 0.095
The tendency of Allegiant OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 0.1 after 90 days |
| 0.09 | 90 days | 0.1 | about 5.31 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Allegiant Gold to stay under $ 0.1 after 90 days from now is about 5.31 (This Allegiant Gold probability density function shows the probability of Allegiant OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Allegiant Gold price to stay between its current price of $ 0.09 and $ 0.1 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.96 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Allegiant Gold has a beta of -1.11. This suggests Additionally Allegiant Gold has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Allegiant Gold Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Allegiant Gold
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Allegiant Gold. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Allegiant Gold's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Allegiant Gold Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Allegiant Gold is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Allegiant Gold's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Allegiant Gold, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Allegiant Gold within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Allegiant Gold Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Allegiant Gold for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Allegiant Gold can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Allegiant Gold generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Allegiant Gold has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Allegiant Gold has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Allegiant Gold has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (1.73 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Allegiant Gold has accumulated about 6.72 M in cash with (974.56 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.07. | |
| Roughly 22.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Allegiant Gold Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Allegiant OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Allegiant Gold's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Allegiant Gold's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 102.4 M |
Allegiant Gold Technical Analysis
Allegiant Gold's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Allegiant OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Allegiant Gold. In general, you should focus on analyzing Allegiant OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Allegiant Gold Predictive Forecast Models
Allegiant Gold's time-series forecasting models is one of many Allegiant Gold's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Allegiant Gold's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Allegiant Gold
Checking the ongoing alerts about Allegiant Gold for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Allegiant Gold help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Allegiant Gold generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Allegiant Gold has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Allegiant Gold has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Allegiant Gold has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (1.73 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Allegiant Gold has accumulated about 6.72 M in cash with (974.56 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.07. | |
| Roughly 22.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Allegiant OTC Stock
Allegiant Gold financial ratios help investors to determine whether Allegiant OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Allegiant with respect to the benefits of owning Allegiant Gold security.