Ava Risk (Australia) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.14
| AVA Stock | 0.13 0.01 7.14% |
Ava |
Ava Risk Target Price Odds to finish below 0.14
The tendency of Ava Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 0.14 after 90 days |
| 0.13 | 90 days | 0.14 | about 76.3 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ava Risk to stay under 0.14 after 90 days from now is about 76.3 (This Ava Risk Group probability density function shows the probability of Ava Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ava Risk Group price to stay between its current price of 0.13 and 0.14 at the end of the 90-day period is about 26.4 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ava Risk has a beta of 0.41. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Ava Risk average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ava Risk Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ava Risk Group has an alpha of 0.6612, implying that it can generate a 0.66 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Ava Risk Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ava Risk
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ava Risk Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Ava Risk Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ava Risk is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ava Risk's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ava Risk Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ava Risk within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.66 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.41 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.16 |
Ava Risk Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ava Risk for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ava Risk Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ava Risk Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Ava Risk Group appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 30.14 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.2 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 18.21 M. | |
| Ava Risk Group has accumulated about 55 K in cash with (535 K) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 45.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Ava Risk Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ava Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ava Risk's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ava Risk's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 263.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.1 M |
Ava Risk Technical Analysis
Ava Risk's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ava Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ava Risk Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ava Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ava Risk Predictive Forecast Models
Ava Risk's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ava Risk's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ava Risk's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ava Risk Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ava Risk for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ava Risk Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ava Risk Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Ava Risk Group appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 30.14 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.2 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 18.21 M. | |
| Ava Risk Group has accumulated about 55 K in cash with (535 K) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 45.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Ava Stock Analysis
When running Ava Risk's price analysis, check to measure Ava Risk's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ava Risk is operating at the current time. Most of Ava Risk's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ava Risk's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ava Risk's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ava Risk to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.