Av Gad (Israel) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1939.42

AVGD Stock   1,979  20.00  1.00%   
Av Gad's future price is the expected price of Av Gad instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Av Gad Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Av Gad Backtesting, Av Gad Valuation, Av Gad Correlation, Av Gad Hype Analysis, Av Gad Volatility, Av Gad History as well as Av Gad Performance.
  
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Av Gad Target Price Odds to finish over 1939.42

The tendency of AVGD Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  1,939  in 90 days
 1,979 90 days 1,939 
nearly 4.71
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Av Gad to stay above  1,939  in 90 days from now is nearly 4.71 (This Av Gad Holdings probability density function shows the probability of AVGD Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Av Gad Holdings price to stay between  1,939  and its current price of 1979.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.9 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Av Gad Holdings has a beta of -0.23. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Av Gad are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Av Gad Holdings is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Av Gad Holdings has an alpha of 0.5742, implying that it can generate a 0.57 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Av Gad Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Av Gad

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Av Gad Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,9771,9791,981
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,8191,8212,177
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2,1232,1252,127
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1,6391,8742,108
Details

Av Gad Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Av Gad is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Av Gad's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Av Gad Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Av Gad within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.57
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.23
σ
Overall volatility
168.02
Ir
Information ratio 0.19

Av Gad Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Av Gad for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Av Gad Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 63.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Av Gad Technical Analysis

Av Gad's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AVGD Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Av Gad Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing AVGD Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Av Gad Predictive Forecast Models

Av Gad's time-series forecasting models is one of many Av Gad's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Av Gad's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Av Gad Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about Av Gad for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Av Gad Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 63.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in AVGD Stock

Av Gad financial ratios help investors to determine whether AVGD Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AVGD with respect to the benefits of owning Av Gad security.