Amex Advancing Volume Index Probability of Future Index Price Finishing Under 675.57
| AVLU Index | 903.25 279.51 44.81% |
AMEX Advancing Target Price Odds to finish below 675.57
The tendency of AMEX Index price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 675.57 or more in 90 days |
| 903.25 | 90 days | 675.57 | about 18.64 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AMEX Advancing to drop to 675.57 or more in 90 days from now is about 18.64 (This AMEX Advancing Volume probability density function shows the probability of AMEX Index to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AMEX Advancing Volume price to stay between 675.57 and its current price of 903.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.24 .
AMEX Advancing Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for AMEX Advancing
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AMEX Advancing Volume. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the index market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the index market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.AMEX Advancing Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AMEX Advancing is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AMEX Advancing's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AMEX Advancing Volume, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AMEX Advancing within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.AMEX Advancing Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AMEX Advancing for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AMEX Advancing Volume can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AMEX Advancing is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| AMEX Advancing appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |
AMEX Advancing Technical Analysis
AMEX Advancing's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AMEX Index technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AMEX Advancing Volume. In general, you should focus on analyzing AMEX Index price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AMEX Advancing Predictive Forecast Models
AMEX Advancing's time-series forecasting models is one of many AMEX Advancing's index analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AMEX Advancing's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the index market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AMEX Advancing Volume
Checking the ongoing alerts about AMEX Advancing for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AMEX Advancing Volume help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.