Asset World (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.18

AWC Stock  THB 3.66  0.06  1.61%   
Asset World's future price is the expected price of Asset World instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Asset World Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Asset World Backtesting, Asset World Valuation, Asset World Correlation, Asset World Hype Analysis, Asset World Volatility, Asset World History as well as Asset World Performance.
  
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Asset World Target Price Odds to finish below 2.18

The tendency of Asset Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  2.18  or more in 90 days
 3.66 90 days 2.18 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Asset World to drop to  2.18  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Asset World Corp probability density function shows the probability of Asset Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Asset World Corp price to stay between  2.18  and its current price of 3.66 at the end of the 90-day period is about 42.72 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Asset World has a beta of 0.44. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Asset World average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Asset World Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Asset World Corp has an alpha of 0.009, implying that it can generate a 0.009017 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Asset World Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Asset World

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Asset World Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.223.725.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.183.685.18
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.353.855.34
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.433.643.86
Details

Asset World Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Asset World is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Asset World's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Asset World Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Asset World within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.44
σ
Overall volatility
0.11
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Asset World Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Asset World for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Asset World Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Asset World Corp has accumulated 43.73 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.61, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Asset World Corp has a current ratio of 0.22, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Asset World until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Asset World's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Asset World Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Asset to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Asset World's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 76.0% of Asset World shares are held by company insiders

Asset World Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Asset Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Asset World's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Asset World's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding32 B

Asset World Technical Analysis

Asset World's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Asset Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Asset World Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Asset Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Asset World Predictive Forecast Models

Asset World's time-series forecasting models is one of many Asset World's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Asset World's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Asset World Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Asset World for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Asset World Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Asset World Corp has accumulated 43.73 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.61, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Asset World Corp has a current ratio of 0.22, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Asset World until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Asset World's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Asset World Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Asset to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Asset World's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 76.0% of Asset World shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Asset Stock

Asset World financial ratios help investors to determine whether Asset Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Asset with respect to the benefits of owning Asset World security.