Awardit AB (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 111.9

AWRD Stock  SEK 130.00  0.50  0.39%   
Awardit AB's future price is the expected price of Awardit AB instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Awardit AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Awardit AB Backtesting, Awardit AB Valuation, Awardit AB Correlation, Awardit AB Hype Analysis, Awardit AB Volatility, Awardit AB History as well as Awardit AB Performance.
  
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Awardit AB Target Price Odds to finish over 111.9

The tendency of Awardit Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above kr 111.90  in 90 days
 130.00 90 days 111.90 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Awardit AB to stay above kr 111.90  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Awardit AB probability density function shows the probability of Awardit Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Awardit AB price to stay between kr 111.90  and its current price of kr130.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 69.33 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Awardit AB has a beta of -0.0747. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Awardit AB are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Awardit AB is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Awardit AB has an alpha of 0.0745, implying that it can generate a 0.0745 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Awardit AB Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Awardit AB

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Awardit AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
127.94129.50131.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
110.34111.90142.45
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
130.09131.66133.22
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
129.45129.78130.12
Details

Awardit AB Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Awardit AB is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Awardit AB's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Awardit AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Awardit AB within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.07
σ
Overall volatility
2.41
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Awardit AB Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Awardit AB for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Awardit AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 61.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Awardit AB Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Awardit Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Awardit AB's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Awardit AB's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding8.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments240.2 M

Awardit AB Technical Analysis

Awardit AB's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Awardit Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Awardit AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Awardit Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Awardit AB Predictive Forecast Models

Awardit AB's time-series forecasting models is one of many Awardit AB's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Awardit AB's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Awardit AB

Checking the ongoing alerts about Awardit AB for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Awardit AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 61.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for Awardit Stock Analysis

When running Awardit AB's price analysis, check to measure Awardit AB's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Awardit AB is operating at the current time. Most of Awardit AB's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Awardit AB's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Awardit AB's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Awardit AB to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.