Ayalon Holdings (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3,242
| AYAL Stock | ILA 3,200 60.00 1.91% |
Ayalon |
Ayalon Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 3,242
The tendency of Ayalon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 3,200 | 90 days | 3,200 | about 99.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ayalon Holdings to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This Ayalon Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Ayalon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ayalon Holdings has a beta of -0.15. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Ayalon Holdings are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Ayalon Holdings is likely to outperform the market. Moreover Ayalon Holdings has an alpha of 1.0252, implying that it can generate a 1.03 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Ayalon Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ayalon Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ayalon Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Ayalon Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ayalon Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ayalon Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ayalon Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ayalon Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 453.29 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.38 |
Ayalon Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ayalon Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ayalon Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ayalon is showing solid risk-adjusted performance over 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 3.15 B. Net Loss for the year was (114.09 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 83.72 M. | |
| Ayalon Holdings has accumulated about 2.96 B in cash with (306.02 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 162.88. | |
| Roughly 67.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Ayalon Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ayalon Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ayalon Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ayalon Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 18.2 M |
Ayalon Holdings Technical Analysis
Ayalon Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ayalon Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ayalon Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ayalon Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ayalon Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
Ayalon Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Ayalon Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ayalon Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ayalon Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ayalon Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ayalon Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ayalon is showing solid risk-adjusted performance over 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 3.15 B. Net Loss for the year was (114.09 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 83.72 M. | |
| Ayalon Holdings has accumulated about 2.96 B in cash with (306.02 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 162.88. | |
| Roughly 67.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Ayalon Stock
Ayalon Holdings financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ayalon Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ayalon with respect to the benefits of owning Ayalon Holdings security.