Bilibili (Brazil) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 24.22
| B1IL34 Stock | BRL 24.34 0.24 1.00% |
Bilibili |
Bilibili Target Price Odds to finish below 24.22
The tendency of Bilibili Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to R$ 24.22 or more in 90 days |
| 24.34 | 90 days | 24.22 | about 59.32 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bilibili to drop to R$ 24.22 or more in 90 days from now is about 59.32 (This Bilibili probability density function shows the probability of Bilibili Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bilibili price to stay between R$ 24.22 and its current price of R$24.34 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.3 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bilibili has a beta of -1.05 suggesting Additionally Bilibili has an alpha of 0.8519, implying that it can generate a 0.85 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Bilibili Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bilibili
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bilibili. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bilibili Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bilibili is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bilibili's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bilibili, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bilibili within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.85 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.56 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.1 |
Bilibili Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bilibili for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bilibili can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Bilibili is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Bilibili appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Bilibili has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 19.38 B. Net Loss for the year was (6.79 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.04 B. | |
| Bilibili generates negative cash flow from operations |
Bilibili Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bilibili Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bilibili's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bilibili's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 390.6 M |
Bilibili Technical Analysis
Bilibili's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bilibili Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bilibili. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bilibili Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bilibili Predictive Forecast Models
Bilibili's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bilibili's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bilibili's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bilibili
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bilibili for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bilibili help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Bilibili is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Bilibili appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Bilibili has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 19.38 B. Net Loss for the year was (6.79 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.04 B. | |
| Bilibili generates negative cash flow from operations |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Bilibili Stock
When determining whether Bilibili offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Bilibili's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Bilibili Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Bilibili Stock:Check out Bilibili Backtesting, Bilibili Valuation, Bilibili Correlation, Bilibili Hype Analysis, Bilibili Volatility, Bilibili History as well as Bilibili Performance. For information on how to trade Bilibili Stock refer to our How to Trade Bilibili Stock guide.You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.