Bali Towerindo (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1,496
| BALI Stock | IDR 1,380 105.00 7.07% |
Bali |
Bali Towerindo Target Price Odds to finish over 1,496
The tendency of Bali Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 1,380 | 90 days | 1,380 | about 9.87 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bali Towerindo to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 9.87 (This Bali Towerindo Sentra probability density function shows the probability of Bali Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bali Towerindo has a beta of 0.18 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Bali Towerindo average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Bali Towerindo Sentra will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Bali Towerindo Sentra has an alpha of 0.8621, implying that it can generate a 0.86 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Bali Towerindo Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bali Towerindo
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bali Towerindo Sentra. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bali Towerindo Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bali Towerindo is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bali Towerindo's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bali Towerindo Sentra, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bali Towerindo within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.86 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 261.21 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.21 |
Bali Towerindo Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bali Towerindo for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bali Towerindo Sentra can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Bali Towerindo appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Bali Towerindo Sentra has accumulated 1.9 T in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.9, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Bali Towerindo Sentra has a current ratio of 0.56, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Bali Towerindo until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Bali Towerindo's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Bali Towerindo Sentra sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Bali to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Bali Towerindo's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 60.0% of Bali Towerindo shares are held by company insiders |
Bali Towerindo Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bali Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bali Towerindo's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bali Towerindo's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.9 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 139.3 B |
Bali Towerindo Technical Analysis
Bali Towerindo's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bali Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bali Towerindo Sentra. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bali Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bali Towerindo Predictive Forecast Models
Bali Towerindo's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bali Towerindo's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bali Towerindo's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bali Towerindo Sentra
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bali Towerindo for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bali Towerindo Sentra help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Bali Towerindo appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Bali Towerindo Sentra has accumulated 1.9 T in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.9, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Bali Towerindo Sentra has a current ratio of 0.56, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Bali Towerindo until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Bali Towerindo's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Bali Towerindo Sentra sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Bali to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Bali Towerindo's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 60.0% of Bali Towerindo shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Bali Stock
Bali Towerindo financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bali Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bali with respect to the benefits of owning Bali Towerindo security.