Bfc Capital Trust Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Under 24.43
| BANFP Preferred Stock | USD 26.34 0.17 0.65% |
BFC |
BFC Capital Target Price Odds to finish below 24.43
The tendency of BFC Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 24.43 or more in 90 days |
| 26.34 | 90 days | 24.43 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BFC Capital to drop to $ 24.43 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This BFC Capital Trust probability density function shows the probability of BFC Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BFC Capital Trust price to stay between $ 24.43 and its current price of $26.34 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon BFC Capital Trust has a beta of -0.0832 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding BFC Capital are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, BFC Capital Trust is likely to outperform the market. Additionally BFC Capital Trust has an alpha of 0.06, implying that it can generate a 0.06 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). BFC Capital Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for BFC Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BFC Capital Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.BFC Capital Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BFC Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BFC Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BFC Capital Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BFC Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.22 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
BFC Capital Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BFC Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BFC Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BFC Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividends Paid | -45.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 271 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt Total | 56.8 M |
BFC Capital Technical Analysis
BFC Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BFC Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BFC Capital Trust. In general, you should focus on analyzing BFC Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
BFC Capital Predictive Forecast Models
BFC Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many BFC Capital's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BFC Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards BFC Capital in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, BFC Capital's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from BFC Capital options trading.
Additional Tools for BFC Preferred Stock Analysis
When running BFC Capital's price analysis, check to measure BFC Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BFC Capital is operating at the current time. Most of BFC Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BFC Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BFC Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BFC Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.