Credicorp (Mexico) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3,897
| BAPN Stock | MXN 3,640 95.64 2.56% |
Credicorp |
Credicorp Target Price Odds to finish below 3,897
The tendency of Credicorp Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 3,640 | 90 days | 3,640 | about 69.55 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Credicorp to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 69.55 (This Credicorp probability density function shows the probability of Credicorp Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Credicorp has a beta of -0.43 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Credicorp are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Credicorp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Credicorp has an alpha of 0.2107, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Credicorp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Credicorp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Credicorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Credicorp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Credicorp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Credicorp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Credicorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Credicorp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.43 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 260.71 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Credicorp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Credicorp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Credicorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 76.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Credicorp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Credicorp Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Credicorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Credicorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 79.5 M |
Credicorp Technical Analysis
Credicorp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Credicorp Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Credicorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Credicorp Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Credicorp Predictive Forecast Models
Credicorp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Credicorp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Credicorp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Credicorp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Credicorp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Credicorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Over 76.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Additional Tools for Credicorp Stock Analysis
When running Credicorp's price analysis, check to measure Credicorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Credicorp is operating at the current time. Most of Credicorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Credicorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Credicorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Credicorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.