Blackstone (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 136.42

BBN1 Stock  EUR 180.00  1.20  0.66%   
Blackstone's future price is the expected price of Blackstone instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Blackstone Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Blackstone Backtesting, Blackstone Valuation, Blackstone Correlation, Blackstone Hype Analysis, Blackstone Volatility, Blackstone History as well as Blackstone Performance.
  
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Blackstone Target Price Odds to finish over 136.42

The tendency of Blackstone Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above € 136.42  in 90 days
 180.00 90 days 136.42 
about 78.09
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Blackstone to stay above € 136.42  in 90 days from now is about 78.09 (This Blackstone Group probability density function shows the probability of Blackstone Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Blackstone Group price to stay between € 136.42  and its current price of €180.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 72.1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.02 suggesting Blackstone Group market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Blackstone is expected to follow. Additionally Blackstone Group has an alpha of 0.4322, implying that it can generate a 0.43 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Blackstone Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Blackstone

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Blackstone Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
177.95180.00182.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
162.00199.69201.74
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
181.31183.36185.41
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
172.38177.97183.57
Details

Blackstone Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Blackstone is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Blackstone's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Blackstone Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Blackstone within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.43
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.02
σ
Overall volatility
18.70
Ir
Information ratio 0.21

Blackstone Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Blackstone for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Blackstone Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Blackstone Group has accumulated 6.64 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.36, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Blackstone Group has a current ratio of 0.91, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Blackstone until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Blackstone's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Blackstone Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Blackstone to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Blackstone's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 65.0% of Blackstone shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Blackstone Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Blackstone Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Blackstone's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Blackstone's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding742.7 M

Blackstone Technical Analysis

Blackstone's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Blackstone Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Blackstone Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Blackstone Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Blackstone Predictive Forecast Models

Blackstone's time-series forecasting models is one of many Blackstone's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Blackstone's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Blackstone Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about Blackstone for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Blackstone Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Blackstone Group has accumulated 6.64 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.36, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Blackstone Group has a current ratio of 0.91, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Blackstone until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Blackstone's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Blackstone Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Blackstone to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Blackstone's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 65.0% of Blackstone shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Blackstone Stock

When determining whether Blackstone Group offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Blackstone's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Blackstone Group Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Blackstone Group Stock:
Check out Blackstone Backtesting, Blackstone Valuation, Blackstone Correlation, Blackstone Hype Analysis, Blackstone Volatility, Blackstone History as well as Blackstone Performance.
You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Blackstone's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Blackstone is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Blackstone's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.